SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
71.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
FEI
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
2 - 2
SPC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
COV
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
RBL
2 - 2
SLB
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
VIZ
1 - 2
SLB
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
SLB
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
LYO
3 - 1
SLB
37%
25%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |