Segunda Liga Round 27

SC Covilha vs Benfica II analysis

SC Covilha Benfica II
62 ELO 60
-11.3% Tilt -16.9%
4970º General ELO ranking 1175º
91º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
48.9%
SC Covilha
26.4%
Draw
24.7%
Benfica II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
SC Covilha
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.7%
Win probability
Benfica II
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-24%
-1%
Benfica II

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Benfica II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2018
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
41%
28%
31%
64 57 7 0
18 Feb. 2018
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 2
Leixões
LEX
46%
28%
26%
65 63 2 -1
11 Feb. 2018
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
55%
25%
20%
65 66 1 0
04 Feb. 2018
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 1
UD Oliveirense
OLI
60%
24%
15%
65 56 9 0
29 Jan. 2018
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
3 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
39%
28%
33%
66 59 7 -1

Matches

Benfica II
Benfica II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2018
BEN
Benfica II
1 - 1
Cova Piedade
COV
58%
22%
20%
59 59 0 0
18 Feb. 2018
REA
Real Sport Clube
5 - 1
Benfica II
BEN
32%
26%
42%
60 53 7 -1
11 Feb. 2018
BEN
Benfica II
1 - 5
Academico Viseu
ACV
58%
22%
20%
61 61 0 -1
04 Feb. 2018
VAR
Varzim
1 - 3
Benfica II
BEN
35%
28%
37%
60 58 2 +1
30 Jan. 2018
BEN
Benfica II
5 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
58%
23%
20%
59 60 1 +1