Taça de Portugal Semi-finals

SC Covilha vs Atlético CP analysis

SC Covilha Atlético CP
68 ELO 73
3.3% Tilt 1.7%
4652º General ELO ranking 3583º
84º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
48.2%
SC Covilha
19.6%
Draw
32.3%
Atlético CP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
SC Covilha
2.36
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
32.2%
Win probability
Atlético CP
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-16%
-4%
Atlético CP

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Atlético CP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 1949
SPC
SC Covilha
3 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
50%
19%
30%
67 71 4 0
24 Apr. 1949
SPC
SC Covilha
4 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
66%
17%
17%
66 62 4 +1
10 Apr. 1949
SPC
SC Covilha
5 - 0
O Elvas
OEL
51%
20%
29%
65 70 5 +1
03 Apr. 1949
EST
Estoril
2 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
89%
7%
4%
65 81 16 0
27 Mar. 1949
SPC
SC Covilha
5 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
9%
13%
78%
63 88 25 +2

Matches

Atlético CP
Atlético CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 1949
ATL
Atlético CP
6 - 2
Lusitano GC Évora
LGC
54%
19%
27%
71 73 2 0
24 Apr. 1949
ATL
Atlético CP
2 - 1
Famalicão
FAM
65%
16%
19%
71 65 6 0
10 Apr. 1949
LUS
Lusitano VRSA
0 - 1
Atlético CP
ATL
38%
24%
39%
70 58 12 +1
03 Apr. 1949
ATL
Atlético CP
1 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
61%
19%
20%
71 70 1 -1
27 Mar. 1949
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Atlético CP
ATL
77%
13%
10%
71 81 10 0