SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
ACA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 3
VIZ
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |