SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
4 - 1
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPC
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
FCB
0 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
23%
20%
56%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 5
BEL
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SCP
5 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |