Europa Conference League qualifiers Second Round Final
First leg 0-0
Charleroi vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LEU
2 - 2
CHA
42%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
0 - 0
CHA
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
1 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
LIE
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 1
WAA
50%
24%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 3
HIF
24%
27%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
0 - 0
CHA
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
3 - 2
BRO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
GAI
3 - 2
HIF
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
1 - 0
IFK
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |