Belgian Pro League Round 8

Charleroi vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis

Charleroi Excelsior Mouscron
67 ELO 78
3.6% Tilt 7.3%
179º General ELO ranking 17682º
13º Country ELO ranking 166º
ELO win probability
30.5%
Charleroi
26.5%
Draw
42.9%
Excelsior Mouscron

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
Charleroi
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.9%
Win probability
Excelsior Mouscron
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Charleroi
Excelsior Mouscron
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Charleroi
Charleroi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 1999
KFC
ASV Geel
0 - 0
Charleroi
CHA
43%
25%
33%
66 62 4 0
17 Sep. 1999
SDL
Standard de Liège
1 - 3
Charleroi
CHA
67%
20%
13%
65 74 9 +1
11 Sep. 1999
CHA
Charleroi
2 - 1
Genk
GNK
20%
24%
56%
64 81 17 +1
28 Aug. 1999
GEN
KAA Gent
3 - 2
Charleroi
CHA
68%
19%
13%
64 73 9 0
21 Aug. 1999
CHA
Charleroi
1 - 2
KVC Westerlo
KVC
50%
24%
26%
64 67 3 0

Matches

Excelsior Mouscron
Excelsior Mouscron
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 1999
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
1 - 3
Standard de Liège
SDL
63%
20%
17%
79 73 6 0
18 Sep. 1999
GNK
Genk
2 - 2
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
62%
20%
17%
79 80 1 0
11 Sep. 1999
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
5 - 3
KAA Gent
GEN
60%
21%
19%
78 73 5 +1
28 Aug. 1999
KVC
KVC Westerlo
3 - 0
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
38%
25%
37%
79 68 11 -1
21 Aug. 1999
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
2 - 0
KV Mechelen
KVM
37%
25%
38%
78 86 8 +1