Sporting Celanova vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPO
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
SDN
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COV
0 - 2
CRU
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 1
COV
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
COV
4 - 3
BAR
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOM
0 - 1
COV
78%
14%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
COV
0 - 1
PON
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |