Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
75%
16%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
EST
0 - 1
SPB
35%
32%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
SPB
0 - 0
UDL
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPB
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
VST
0 - 1
VAR
63%
20%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
VAR
3 - 0
MAR
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
SCP
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |