Sporting Braga vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
4 - 0
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 1
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 2
SHA
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
UNM
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 0
UNM
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
FCP
0 - 1
TON
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TON
2 - 2
BEL
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
SLB
4 - 1
TON
86%
11%
4%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |