Europa League Knock-out stages 1/16
Global 4-1
Sporting Braga vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 1
LEX
63%
24%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 3
SPB
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 0
PAÇ
59%
23%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SDL
4 - 0
TUB
79%
16%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
KVK
0 - 2
SDL
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SDL
3 - 0
KSV
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
KVC
0 - 1
SDL
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SDL
3 - 2
DEN
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |