Sporting Braga vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
RDA
0 - 2
SPB
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
PEN
1 - 0
RDA
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 1
RIO
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
VST
5 - 0
PEN
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
40%
30%
30%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |