Sporting Braga vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 1
GFC
73%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
SPB
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
MUD
3 - 2
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 0
LEX
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPB
4 - 4
OLH
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
CHL
5 - 4
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 3
MUD
42%
25%
34%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
MUD
3 - 2
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MUD
4 - 2
STO
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |