Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
65.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPB
49%
20%
31%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
OLH
5 - 2
SPB
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 3
BOA
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
OEL
3 - 1
SPB
48%
21%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
OLH
3 - 3
SLB
24%
19%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
OEL
3 - 6
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 3
EST
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |