Sporting Braga vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPB
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
GLA
3 - 1
SPB
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIZ
0 - 1
SPB
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
VIZ
2 - 1
ARO
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 0
ARO
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ARO
2 - 1
GFC
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |