Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SHA
2 - 0
SPB
40%
25%
36%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
UDL
3 - 1
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SPB
2 - 0
ARS
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 5
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BMA
0 - 2
ACA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARO
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |