Sporting Braga II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
14
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
40%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 3
LUS
27%
29%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |