Sporting Braga II vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
9
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALV
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 3
FEL
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 0
AMO
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |