Sporting Bertrange vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
15º
13º
11
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
4 - 2
SPO
37%
22%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 3
TBB
70%
17%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 3
SPO
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 3
SPO
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 0
SYR
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
SAN
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CBG
6 - 2
UME
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UME
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
UKT
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
URE
2 - 2
UME
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |