Sporting Beira vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
BEI
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
HCB
5 - 1
BEI
61%
23%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 3
LIG
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
IDX
0 - 0
BEI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 1
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
DMA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
HCB
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 0
FER
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FER
3 - 0
IDX
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |