Sporting Bazan vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAA
1 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPB
5 - 2
CEP
57%
19%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LMJ
4 - 4
SPB
24%
21%
54%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPB
5 - 0
NUE
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TDC
1 - 1
SPB
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UCA
7 - 1
ATL
34%
21%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOB
1 - 2
UCA
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAA
2 - 1
UCA
67%
16%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
CEP
53%
20%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LMJ
0 - 3
UCA
39%
23%
39%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |