Sporting Alcalá vs Villalbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SDH
3 - 2
SAL
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SAL
9 - 2
SER
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SIC
4 - 3
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
MAJ
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALA
5 - 2
SAL
79%
13%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CFV
6 - 2
FSF
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CFV
2 - 4
VDM
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CFV
3 - 0
LOE
66%
18%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CFV
6 - 3
JTB
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NBT
1 - 3
CFV
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |