Sport Club La Garrovilla vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Club La Garrovilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
GAR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
ZAF
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
GAR
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UCL
4 - 1
GAR
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 0
SPR
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
CDS
42%
24%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EMD
2 - 1
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
CPO
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 2
CPG
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SEG
2 - 2
SMA
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |