Benfica Castelo Branco vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
FAT
78%
14%
7%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 1
BEN
24%
28%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 1
UDL
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
IDE
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
5 - 1
ANM
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
IDE
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |