Benfica Castelo Branco vs FC Alverca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
6º
39
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 7
BEN
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
BEN
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 1
BEN
19%
22%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCA
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
COI
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +1 |