Benfica Castelo Branco vs Angrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
BEN
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
COV
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 1
BEN
34%
27%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
4 - 1
PRA
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
ANG
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
MOU
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
ANG
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 2
COV
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |