Split vs Hrvatski Vitez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
SPL
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAK
2 - 1
SPL
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SPL
2 - 1
NER
34%
24%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
UBV
0 - 5
SPL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPL
1 - 0
JUN
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hrvatski Vitez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
NER
3 - 1
NKH
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NKH
1 - 0
MAK
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NKH
3 - 0
UBV
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 3
NKH
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NKH
3 - 0
KAM
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |