Split vs Jadran KS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
NKG
1 - 2
SPL
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SPL
5 - 0
VAL
79%
14%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PRI
0 - 3
SPL
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SPL
2 - 0
NKD
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HVB
1 - 3
SPL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran KS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
NKD
4 - 0
HJK
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HJK
0 - 0
NER
54%
22%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NKC
2 - 1
HJK
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HJK
3 - 3
NKR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NER
3 - 0
HJK
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |