Spirit FC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
PAP
3 - 0
SFC
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SFC
0 - 1
SYD
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 2
SFC
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SFC
3 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 1
SFC
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
6 - 0
NZK
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 5
SOU
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PER
1 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |