Spijkenisse vs WNC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
14º
14º
31
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spijkenisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SPI
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 0
SCF
28%
21%
52%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
SPI
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SPI
0 - 1
KLO
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
SPI
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
WNC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 4
ODI
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 2
WNC
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 3
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
0 - 5
GOE
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
WNC
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |