Spielberg vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
3 - 0
SPI
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 1
NOR
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 3
SPI
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 1
VFR
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPI
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ULM
3 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OFF
4 - 1
ULM
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 0
ULM
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ULM
4 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 1
ULM
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |