Reichenau / Union vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenau / Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
WAT
3 - 0
SPG
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
SEE
2 - 3
SPG
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SPG
0 - 1
ROT
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
AXG
0 - 1
SPG
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SPG
1 - 1
FCH
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 2
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AXG
3 - 1
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 2
FCH
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ANI
1 - 2
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 2
BLA
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |