Coppa Italia Primavera 1/16

Spezia U19 vs Milan U19 analysis

Spezia U19 Milan U19
33 ELO 31
-0.3% Tilt 6.5%
8374º General ELO ranking 7313º
323º Country ELO ranking 284º
ELO win probability
50.6%
Spezia U19
22.6%
Draw
26.9%
Milan U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
Spezia U19
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.9%
Win probability
Milan U19
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Spezia U19
Milan U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2019
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 2
Hellas Verona U19
VER
48%
23%
29%
36 36 0 0
19 Oct. 2019
BRE
Brescia U19
2 - 3
Spezia U19
SPE
32%
22%
46%
35 29 6 +1
05 Oct. 2019
SPE
Spezia U19
2 - 1
SPAL U19
SPA
57%
21%
23%
34 33 1 +1
28 Sep. 2019
PUB
Pordenone U19
2 - 0
Spezia U19
SPE
27%
21%
53%
35 28 7 -1
25 Sep. 2019
BRE
Brescia U19
1 - 3
Spezia U19
SPE
35%
23%
42%
33 29 4 +2

Matches

Milan U19
Milan U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2019
MIL
Milan U19
6 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
66%
18%
16%
28 23 5 0
19 Oct. 2019
MIL
Milan U19
2 - 1
Cremonese U19
CRE
43%
22%
35%
27 31 4 +1
05 Oct. 2019
CIT
Cittadella U19
1 - 1
Milan U19
MIL
21%
20%
59%
28 20 8 -1
28 Sep. 2019
MIL
Milan U19
3 - 2
Venezia U19
VEN
35%
21%
44%
26 30 4 +2
25 Sep. 2019
SAM
Sampdoria U19
2 - 2
Milan U19
MIL
40%
24%
37%
25 25 0 +1