Lega Primavera U19 Round 17

Spezia U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis

Spezia U19 Cesena U19
37 ELO 35
-7.4% Tilt 1.7%
8681º General ELO ranking 27260º
324º Country ELO ranking 1002º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Spezia U19
21.7%
Draw
21.6%
Cesena U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
Spezia U19
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.6%
Win probability
Cesena U19
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spezia U19
-52%
+26%
Cesena U19

ELO progression

Spezia U19
Cesena U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2014
CAR
Carpi U19
1 - 2
Spezia U19
SPE
17%
21%
63%
38 22 16 0
31 Jan. 2014
BOL
Bologna U19
0 - 3
Spezia U19
SPE
48%
23%
29%
36 37 1 +2
25 Jan. 2014
SPE
Spezia U19
4 - 4
Juventus U19
JUV
18%
22%
60%
36 49 13 0
18 Jan. 2014
TOR
Torino U19
3 - 2
Spezia U19
SPE
69%
18%
13%
37 49 12 -1
14 Dec. 2013
SPE
Spezia U19
2 - 1
Sassuolo U19
SAS
56%
22%
22%
35 28 7 +2

Matches

Cesena U19
Cesena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2014
CES
Cesena U19
2 - 1
Sampdoria U19
SAM
29%
26%
45%
31 40 9 0
18 Jan. 2014
SIE
Siena U19
3 - 2
Cesena U19
CES
29%
26%
45%
33 26 7 -2
14 Dec. 2013
CES
Cesena U19
1 - 2
Empoli U19
EMP
37%
26%
37%
33 38 5 0
07 Dec. 2013
TOR
Torino U19
4 - 2
Cesena U19
CES
72%
17%
10%
34 48 14 -1
04 Dec. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina U19
2 - 1
Cesena U19
CES
63%
21%
15%
34 45 11 0