Spennymoor Town vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BUX
2 - 2
SPE
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 3
SPE
16%
22%
61%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 3
SPE
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
7 - 0
SKE
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COA
0 - 1
SPE
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 3
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 1
MAT
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
BLY
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 3
MAT
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |