FA Trophy . Last 16
Global 6-3
Spennymoor Town vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 0
TAM
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
YOR
2 - 2
SPE
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 0
SOL
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
SPE
4 - 4
GAI
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 2
SPE
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
STA
7 - 2
EAS
33%
22%
44%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
4 - 1
OXF
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 0
EAS
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 3
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |