Spartans vs Preston Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
AFC
1 - 4
SPA
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
CRA
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 1
SEL
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LOT
2 - 3
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 0
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Preston Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PRE
0 - 2
CIV
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 4
WHI
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
EAS
2 - 2
PRE
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |