Spartans II vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
4 - 0
SPA
22%
20%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
STI
59%
19%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
TYN
43%
21%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
6 - 2
COL
63%
18%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STI
2 - 1
LOT
16%
18%
67%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOT
3 - 2
CIV
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LOT
3 - 1
HAW
87%
9%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
LOT
42%
23%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LOT
2 - 2
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |