Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
SSO
3 - 1
SVA
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SVA
1 - 0
BVR
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
SVA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1966 |
BER
2 - 1
SVA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
SVA
1 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1966 |
LSO
2 - 2
BOT
62%
21%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
CHB
2 - 3
LSO
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1966 |
LSO
0 - 1
CSK
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
LSO
3 - 0
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
LSO
0 - 1
SPS
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |