Jong Sparta vs Jong Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
13º
10º
26
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPA
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIS
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ALK
4 - 0
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
SPA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 0
KON
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KAT
7 - 0
VOL
65%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STE
3 - 0
VOL
43%
23%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 1
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 3
VOL
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |