Beloften Eredivisie Rondas Finales. Jor. 9

Jong Sparta vs Jong AZ analysis

Jong Sparta Jong AZ
21 ELO 27
7.5% Tilt 10.8%
3580º General ELO ranking 1772º
65º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Jong Sparta
21.5%
Draw
45.2%
Jong AZ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
Jong Sparta
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.2%
Win probability
Jong AZ
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Sparta
+57%
+14%
Jong AZ

ELO progression

Jong Sparta
Jong AZ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Sparta
Jong Sparta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2015
VVV
VVV-Venlo Sub 21
1 - 5
Jong Sparta
SPA
53%
21%
27%
20 21 1 0
23 Feb. 2015
ALM
Jong Almere City
2 - 4
Jong Sparta
SPA
66%
18%
17%
19 23 4 +1
10 Feb. 2015
SPA
Jong Sparta
2 - 4
Vitesse Sub 23
VIT
15%
17%
68%
19 36 17 0
02 Feb. 2015
SPA
Jong Sparta
1 - 1
Heerenveen Sub 21
HER
25%
21%
54%
19 31 12 0
26 Jan. 2015
WIL
Willem II Sub 21
5 - 1
Jong Sparta
SPA
61%
20%
19%
20 27 7 -1

Matches

Jong AZ
Jong AZ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen Sub 21
HER
44%
21%
35%
25 31 6 0
23 Feb. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 1
Willem II Sub 21
WIL
55%
20%
24%
24 27 3 +1
09 Feb. 2015
FYN
Feyenoord Sub 21
4 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
56%
20%
25%
24 26 2 0
02 Feb. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
1 - 2
Vitesse Sub 23
VIT
32%
20%
48%
26 36 10 -2
26 Jan. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
3 - 3
VVV-Venlo Sub 21
VVV
77%
14%
10%
26 20 6 0
X