Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 3
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 0
PSV
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
MVV
3 - 3
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 1
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
WAG
0 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |