Europa League . Last 16
Global 4-1
Sparta Praha vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
JAB
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 1
SPA
34%
25%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
KRA
0 - 3
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MBO
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
KRA
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 2
SAS
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 1
GAL
49%
23%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 0
LAZ
19%
25%
57%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 1
LAZ
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |