Q. Europa League Playoffs. Final
Global 4-2
Sparta Praha vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DUK
1 - 0
SPA
31%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 1
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 1
BAN
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PRI
0 - 1
SPA
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
MFF
2 - 0
SPA
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 1
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 1
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 2
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |