Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
12º
1º
35
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TEP
2 - 2
SPA
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
ZLI
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
JAB
1 - 1
SPA
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
BOH
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MBO
1 - 3
SPA
30%
24%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HRA
0 - 0
BAN
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
ZBR
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JAB
1 - 1
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
TEP
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |