Provincial Belgium West Flanders Round 30

Sparta Heestert vs Varsenare analysis

Sparta Heestert Varsenare
22 ELO 27
-3.4% Tilt -10.4%
9647º General ELO ranking 8274º
250º Country ELO ranking 213º
ELO win probability
34.5%
Sparta Heestert
22.9%
Draw
42.6%
Varsenare

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
Sparta Heestert
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
42.6%
Win probability
Varsenare
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sparta Heestert
-17%
+18%
Varsenare

Points and table prediction

Sparta Heestert
Their league position
Varsenare
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
16º
10º
43
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wevelgem City
65
65
100%
Blankenberge
61
64
0%
Sassport Boezinge
61
64
100%
WS Lauwe
64
64
0%
Deerlijk Sport
48
51
85.5%
Diksmuide
48
49
85.5%
Varsenare
43
44
100%
Racing Waregem
42
42
100%
Moen
36
36
100%
Sparta Heestert
10º
33
34
10º
100%
Meulebeke
11º
31
34
11º
100%
Oostnieuwkerke
12º
28
31
12º
100%
Excelsior Zedelgem
13º
26
29
13º
100%
Veurne
14º
25
26
14º
100%
RC Lauwe
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Jabbeke
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sparta Heestert
Varsenare
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sparta Heestert
Varsenare
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sparta Heestert
Sparta Heestert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
KWL
WS Lauwe
5 - 0
Sparta Heestert
SHE
81%
12%
7%
22 37 15 0
16 Apr. 2023
SHE
Sparta Heestert
2 - 5
Racing Waregem
RAC
34%
22%
44%
23 26 3 -1
01 Apr. 2023
KFM
Moen
0 - 1
Sparta Heestert
SHE
69%
17%
14%
22 27 5 +1
26 Mar. 2023
KVC
Deerlijk Sport
0 - 0
Sparta Heestert
SHE
64%
19%
17%
22 26 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
SHE
Sparta Heestert
0 - 3
Blankenberge
BLA
12%
16%
72%
23 38 15 -1

Matches

Varsenare
Varsenare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
VAR
Varsenare
1 - 1
Excelsior Zedelgem
KEZ
71%
16%
13%
27 20 7 0
16 Apr. 2023
BLA
Blankenberge
3 - 0
Varsenare
VAR
81%
12%
7%
27 40 13 0
01 Apr. 2023
VAR
Varsenare
3 - 2
Wevelgem City
WEV
23%
21%
57%
25 36 11 +2
25 Mar. 2023
DIK
Diksmuide
0 - 0
Varsenare
VAR
58%
21%
22%
25 28 3 0
18 Mar. 2023
VAR
Varsenare
2 - 3
RC Lauwe
RCL
72%
16%
13%
25 19 6 0