Spalding United vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
6 - 0
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 0
SPA
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 2
GLA
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SHE
3 - 1
SPA
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
BEL
12%
20%
69%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MIC
2 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 1
SHE
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
LIN
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 0
LOU
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |