Spalding United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 2
SPA
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 0
SHE
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
BED
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
PET
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |