Spalding United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 2
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
STA
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 3
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DEE
2 - 6
GRE
40%
22%
39%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |