SPAL U19 vs Como U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
5º
36
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 5
SPA
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 0
PUB
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
SPA
31%
23%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Como U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PUB
2 - 2
COM
11%
15%
74%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
89%
8%
4%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 2
COM
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
VEN
32%
21%
48%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 4
COM
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |